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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Below average rainfall expected for the Western Cape this winter

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The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has forecasted below-normal rainfall for the southwestern parts of the country in the coming months, raising concerns about water availability and agricultural impacts in the region.

 

According to the latest Seasonal Climate Watch report covering the period from April to August 2025, the shift into late autumn and winter will see significantly drier-than-usual conditions.

 

The Western Cape, which typically relies on winter rainfall, is expected to experience a shortfall during the critical growing season for many crops and water catchment areas.

 

The combination of reduced precipitation and increased evaporation is likely to place further strain on water resources. Water reservoirs could see diminished replenishment levels, raising potential challenges for both urban supply and agricultural irrigation.

 

The anticipated below-average rainfall over the province is particularly concerning as it coincides with forecasts of above-normal temperatures across most of the country.

 

Agriculture experts are urging farmers in the affected regions to implement water conservation strategies, such as efficient irrigation systems and soil moisture retention techniques, to mitigate the impact of the dry conditions.

 

Authorities are also advising proactive water management measures to ensure sustainable supply amid the lower expected inflows into key reservoirs.

 

In contrast, SAWS has predicted above-normal rainfall for the southern and eastern coastal areas, a development that may lead to localized flooding risks in these regions.

 

Despite the concern, SAWS emphasized that seasonal forecasts are subject to change and will be updated monthly. The public and relevant stakeholders are encouraged to monitor updated predictions and prepare accordingly.

 

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